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Trump
Local
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
Before Jul 1, 2027
--
0
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
--
0
%
$0 vol
2 markets
Politics
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?
4.19 million
--
2
%
4.65 million
--
90
%
$2 vol
2 markets
Local
NYC teachers’ aides paid the Respect Check before February?
Yes
--
0
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
NYC
Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$6 vol
1 market
Local
NYC population change in Mamdani’s first 18 months?
Increase 2-2.99%
1.02
x
3
%
Increase 0.01-0.99%
--
2
%
$8 vol
8 markets
Politics
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes
--
1
%
No
1.01
x
99
%
$24,007 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
3
%
No
1.02
x
97
%
$1 vol
1 market
NYC
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries this year?
Above 170 million
--
0
%
Above 175 million
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
NYC
What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
At least 8 mph
--
0
%
At least 8.1 mph
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
NYC
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
Above 100,000
--
0
%
Above 86,000
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
NYC
How many new housing units will NYC permit this year?
Above 23,000
--
0
%
Above 26,000
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
NYC
NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
Above 35,000
2.05
x
24
%
Above 34,250
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
NYC
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 10,000
--
0
%
Above 12,000
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
NYC
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
Above 275 days
--
0
%
Above 300 days
--
0
%
$0 vol
9 markets
NYC
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 1
--
0
%
At least 2
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Local
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
Above $1 billion
--
1
%
Above $1.2 billion
--
1
%
$5 vol
5 markets
Local
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$2 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Yes
--
28
%
No
1.34
x
72
%
$19 vol
1 market
NYC
New York City mayoral election winner?
Andrew Cuomo
--
2
%
Bill Ackman
--
2
%
$12 vol
12 markets
Local
Will New York City open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
Yes
1.01
x
96
%
No
18.8
x
4
%
$45 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
3
%
No
1.02
x
97
%
$1 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
3
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
--
2
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Local
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
3
%
No
1.02
x
97
%
$1 vol
1 market