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51
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NYC
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SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Recurring
Trump’s RCP approval average today?
LIVE
38.8%
2.24
x
43
%
38.7%
3.96
x
24
%
$277,663 vol
9 markets
Recurring
Generic congressional ballot today?
LIVE
Above 8.5%
--
0
%
7.9%
--
0
%
$0 vol
9 markets
Recurring
Generic congressional ballot on Friday?
Above 9.0%
--
0
%
7.6% to 7.8%
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Recurring
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)
120-139
--
0
%
140-159
--
0
%
$0 vol
10 markets
Recurring
Will Trump’s approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
Yes
--
65
%
No
1.38
x
36
%
$0 vol
1 market
Recurring
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/28-10/4)
1
--
0
%
2
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Recurring
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (9/27-10/3)
At least 1
--
0
%
At least 5
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Recurring
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (9/26-10/2)
At least 10
--
0
%
At least 20
--
0
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Recurring
How many Truths will Trump delete this month?
At least 10
--
0
%
At least 15
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Recurring
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)
At least 1
--
0
%
At least 10
--
0
%
$0 vol
11 markets
Recurring
How many border encounters this month?
10,500 to 12,000
--
2
%
12,001 or above
--
2
%
$9 vol
9 markets
Recurring
Number of White House Press Briefings this month?
At least 1
--
0
%
At least 3
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Recurring
How many people will Trump pardon this month?
0
--
0
%
1
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Recurring
Major news story this month?
At least 1
--
0
%
At least 10
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Recurring
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster next month?
0
--
0
%
2
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Recurring
Will Trump announce a new trade deal this month?
Yes
--
0
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Recurring
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled this month?
Yes
--
0
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Recurring
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
1
--
0
%
2
--
0
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Recurring
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago next month?
0
--
0
%
1
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
Recurring
How many federal judges will be confirmed this month?
At least 1
--
0
%
At least 2
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
Recurring
CLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
Above $105M
--
0
%
Above $115M
--
0
%
$21 vol
12 markets
Recurring
SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
Above $105M
--
1
%
Above $115M
--
1
%
$21 vol
7 markets
Recurring
SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
Above $150M
--
1
%
Above $175M
--
1
%
$21 vol
7 markets
Recurring
Talarico for Texas Total Receipts (Q3)
Above $55M
--
0
%
Above $60M
--
0
%
$18 vol
13 markets