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SCOTUS & courts

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2027
--
Before Jul 1, 2027
--
$3 vol3 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

Yes
--
No
--
$2 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump’s term?

Not nine justices
1.02x
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
1.01x
$77,800 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump’s Presidency?

Yes
--
No
--
$30,605 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

Yes
--
No
--
$2 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump’s term ends?

Yes
--
No
1.03x
$5,721 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?

Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice
--
Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche
--
$10 vol10 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market