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Tech & Science

All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space

Tech & Science

Tech & Science

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Yes
--
No
1.09x
$24,749 vol1 market
Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Before Jan 20, 2029
3.80x
Before 2028
5.25x
$30,965,838 vol8 markets
Space

How many launches will SpaceX have in July?

Above 14
--
Above 18
--
$0 vol8 markets
AI

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.40x
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.96x
$12,631,095 vol6 markets
Energy

What will 1+1 equal today at 01:20

2
1.40x
3
1.40x
$4 vol2 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
2.05x
No
1.57x
$15,291 vol1 market
Tesla

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes
7.85x
No
--
$19,379 vol1 market
Elon Musk

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes
1.06x
No
1.02x
$16,536 vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$45,680 vol1 market
AI

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes
--
No
--
$13,101 vol1 market
Space

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2028
1.02x
Before 2030
--
$63,069 vol4 markets
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Washington, DC
--
Detroit, MI
--
$1 vol10 markets
Biotech

FDA decision: Venglustat by Sanofi (this year)

Yes
1.01x
No
1.01x
$0 vol1 market
Education

US test scores in Reading this year?

No significant difference
1.03x
Significant increase
1.02x
$58,308 vol3 markets
Tech & Science

Will the US lose measles elimination status this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Tech & Science

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

At least 4,400
--
At least 4,500
--
$0 vol9 markets
AI

Top AI model this week

claude-opus-4-6
--
claude-opus-4-7
--
$2 vol4 markets
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI
1.65x
Zhipu AI
1.03x
$233,858 vol13 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this week

LIVE
ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$0 vol9 markets
AI

Top Coding AI this week

ChatGPT
--
Claude
--
$0 vol9 markets
Public Health

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States this year?

Above 7k
1.67x
Above 10k
--
$0 vol5 markets
Tech & Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space this year?

2
--
1 or below
--
$3 vol10 markets
Tech & Science

When will SpaceX’s Starship launch from Florida?

Before Aug 1, 2026
--
Before Oct 1, 2026
--
$0 vol3 markets
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
--
No
1.03x
$16,544 vol1 market