When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2026

3.08x

Before Nov 1, 2026

3.80x

$254,714,146 vol8 markets

Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Before Jan 20, 2029

3.80x

Before 2028

5.25x

$30,966,024 vol8 markets

Congress

Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?

Before Jan 1, 2027

6.29x

Before Dec 1, 2026

7.25x

$8,132,548 vol6 markets

Trump

Who will be Trump’s next Attorney General?

Todd Blanche

1.50x

Lee Zeldin

13.4x

$211,866,750 vol22 markets

Iran

New US-Iran nuclear deal this year?

Before 2027

2.05x

Before December

2.29x

$35,424,400 vol10 markets

Recurring

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/19 - 7/25)

Above 1

2.14x

Above 2

5.25x

$1 vol3 markets

Politics

Scottish referendum called before 2027?

Yes

1.01x

1.02x

$11,634 vol1 market

International

Volodymyr Zelenskyy out as President of Ukraine?

Yes

$72 vol1 market

International

Will Zelenskyy and Putin talk during Trump’s term?

Before 2027

1.02x

Vladimir Putin

1.40x

$141 vol2 markets

Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Yes

$0 vol1 market

International

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

$0 vol2 markets

International

When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?

Before 2030

Before 2028

$1 vol4 markets

International

Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?

Before Aug 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

$0 vol3 markets

International

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

1.02x

World Bank Group

1.44x

$160,129 vol9 markets

Trump

Who will visit the White House before 2027?

Claudia Sheinbaum

1.02x

Abdel Fattah al-Sisi

$4 vol26 markets

Trump

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing this year?

Dan Bongino

1.02x

Benny Johnson

$4 vol9 markets

Politics

Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents’ Dinner?

Ivanka Trump

Joe Scarborough

$2 vol6 markets

Economics

Will another White House Correspondents’ Dinner be held this year?

Yes

$0 vol1 market

Trump

Will DOJ formally eliminate the Anti-Weaponization Fund?

Yes

$0 vol1 market

Local

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

Yes

1.01x

$0 vol1 market

Politics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028

$0 vol4 markets

Congress

How many ties will JD Vance break this year?

$2 vol10 markets

Congress

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Aug 8, 2026

$10 vol3 markets

Congress

Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Cory Mills?

Before Nov 3, 2026

Before Aug 1, 2026

$0 vol2 markets