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Trump

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Politics

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
5.25x
Scott Jennings
6.29x
$109,588,581 vol53 markets
Trump

Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
International

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

G7
1.02x
World Bank Group
1.44x
$160,466 vol9 markets
Trump

Who will visit the White House before 2027?

Claudia Sheinbaum
1.02x
John Ternus
John Ternus
John Ternus
3.18x
$29 vol23 markets
Trump

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing this year?

Dan Bongino
1.02x
Benny Johnson
--
$13 vol9 markets
Trump

Will Trump name another news outlet for his White House ban?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market
Trump

When will the White House announce an end to its press ban?

Before Nov 1, 2026
--
Before Oct 1, 2026
--
$0 vol2 markets
Trump

How many U.S. visas will be revoked this year?

At least 100,000
--
At least 150,000
--
$0 vol6 markets
Trump

How many bills with Trump veto this year?

At least 2
3.08x
At least 1
--
$12 vol5 markets
Trump

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend this year?

Rotavirus
1.04x
COVID-19
--
$7 vol6 markets
Trump

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Yes
--
No
1.03x
$15,974 vol1 market
Trump

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Trump

Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Politics

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

Before Jan 1, 2027
--
Before Jan 1, 2028
--
$3 vol3 markets
Trump

Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$13,129 vol1 market
Trump

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom before 2027?

Elon Musk
1.03x
Kid Rock
1.03x
$48 vol9 markets
Trump

Which USMCA outcomes will occur this year?

Formal 16-year extension
--
Formal USMCA amendment
--
$8 vol8 markets
Trump

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA before 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$20,189 vol1 market
Trump

Who will join Trump’s sovereign wealth fund before 2027?

Chamath Palihapitiya
1.03x
Bill Ackman
--
$30,163 vol2 markets
Trump

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

Yes
--
No
--
$16,326 vol1 market
Trump

When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?

Before Oct 1, 2026
--
Before Dec 1, 2026
--
$0 vol4 markets
Trump

When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

Before Dec 1, 2026
--
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$0 vol4 markets
Trump

Will the US create a national AI regulator?

Before Jan 1, 2027
--
Before Jul 1, 2027
--
$0 vol3 markets