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Local
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Local
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Frequency
Local
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Yes
--
51
%
No
1.01
x
50
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Will UC reinstate its SAT and ACT requirement before 2028?
Yes
--
0
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Which state laws will be enacted this year?
$15 Minimum Wage by 2029
--
0
%
AI Anti-Discrimination
--
0
%
$0 vol
6 markets
Local
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Yes
--
19
%
No
--
81
%
$187 vol
1 market
Local
NYC population change in Mamdani’s first 18 months?
Increase 2-2.99%
1.02
x
50
%
Increase 0.01-0.99%
--
0
%
$0 vol
8 markets
Local
Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
0
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
--
50
%
$0 vol
2 markets
Local
Will New York tax QSBS gains?
Yes
--
12
%
No
--
88
%
$1 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
Yes
--
50
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
50
%
No
1.02
x
51
%
$0 vol
1 market
Politics
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
Above $1 billion
--
50
%
Above $1.2 billion
--
50
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Local
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
Yes
--
15
%
No
--
85
%
$1 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Yes
--
99
%
No
1.34
x
1
%
$18 vol
1 market
Local
Will New York City open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
Yes
1.01
x
99
%
No
--
1
%
$5 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
50
%
No
1.02
x
51
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
50
%
No
1.02
x
51
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
50
%
No
1.02
x
51
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
Yes
--
0
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Politics
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums this year?
At least 2
--
0
%
At least 3
--
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Local
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
0
%
Before Aug 1, 2026
--
50
%
$0 vol
2 markets
Local
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
--
20
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
--
0
%
$2,751,330 vol
2 markets
Local
Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?
Yes
--
0
%
No
--
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
Yes
--
51
%
No
1.01
x
50
%
$0 vol
1 market
Local
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?
Yes
--
6
%
No
--
94
%
$1 vol
1 market
Local
Will NYC buses become free before 2027?
Yes
1.03
x
50
%
No
1.02
x
51
%
$0 vol
1 market