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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
Democrats
have a
62% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have a
91% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Democrats
have a
90% chance
of winning the 2028 Presidential Election
Presidential forecast
Combos
US Elections
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
62
%
D-House, R-Senate
29
%
$38,980,349 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Texas Elections
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
0
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$207 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s nightmare case?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$51 vol
1 market
House Combos
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
0
%
No
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Ohio Elections
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
1
%
Amy Acton and Jon Husted win
1
%
$4 vol
4 markets
New Hampshire Elections
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
2
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
2
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Nebraska Elections
Nebraska Governor-Senate combo
Lynne Walz and Dan Osborn win
51
%
Lynne Walz and Pete Ricketts win
51
%
$0 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 25
2
%
At least 50
2
%
$121,688 vol
10 markets
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Maine Elections
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Senate
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
Yes
50
%
No
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Kansas Elections
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Iowa Elections
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
1
%
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 1
1
%
At least 2
1
%
$24 vol
8 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
Above 5
1
%
0
1
%
$21 vol
7 markets
Georgia Elections
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
1
%
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
2
%
Senate
2
%
$27 vol
9 markets
Florida Elections
Florida Governor-Senate combo
David Jolly and Angie Nixon win
0
%
David Jolly and Ashley Moody win
0
%
$0 vol
4 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Tom Steyer
1
%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
1
%
$27 vol
9 markets
Senate
Blue wave next year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$3 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue tsunami next year?
Yes
90
%
No
10
%
$14 vol
1 market
