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2026 Midterms

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Peru
Referendums
SenateHouseGovernorBalance of Power
LiveKalshi Forecast

Democrats favored to hold 17 seats, Republicans favored to hold 30 seats, with 3 toss-ups

Early forecasts · 34 days to Election
17Democrats
Republicans30
24 current Democratic seats26 current Republican seats
Timeline
Live

Races by rating

Safe Democratic

Total 9
DAlabama97%DIdaho97%DIllinois97%DMaine97%DMinnesota97%DNew Hampshire98%DNew York97%DPennsylvania91%DSouth Dakota97%

Likely Democratic

Total 2
DIowa76%DWisconsin79%

Lean Democratic

Total 0
No races

Toss-up

Total 3Dem 2Rep 1
DGeorgia54%RNevada53%DOhio57%

Lean Republican

Total 1
RTexas73%

Likely Republican

Total 1
RFlorida78%

Safe Republican

Total 20
RAlaska97%RArkansas97%RArizona97%RCalifornia98%RColorado97%RConnecticut97%RHawaii97%RKansas97%RMassachusetts99%RMaryland98%RMichigan97%RNebraska97%RNew Mexico97%ROklahoma99%ROregon97%RRhode Island97%RSouth Carolina99%RTennessee99%RVermont97%RWyoming99%

More markets

142 events
MarketPays outOdds
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

$197,655,992 vol
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
1.67x
Karen Bass
2.24x
US Elections

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

$0 vol
At least 1
--
At least 12
--
Other US Elections

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

$2 vol
Bo French
--
Jon Rosenthal
--
Other US Elections

Texas House of Representatives winner

$2 vol
Democratic Party
--
Republican Party
--
Other US Elections

Texas State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Texas State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Nevada State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Nevada State Assembly winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Florida State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Florida State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
--
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Georgia State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Georgia State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Ohio State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Ohio State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

New Hampshire State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

North Carolina State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

North Carolina State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Minnesota State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Minnesota State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Michigan State Senate winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--
Other US Elections

Michigan State House winner?

$2 vol
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
--
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
--

Combos

Governor Combos

Closest Governor race this year?

Iowa
Kansas
$227 vol22 markets
Governor Combos

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Republican Party
Tie
$46 vol3 markets
Governor Combos

How many Governors will lose reelection this year?

Exactly 0
Exactly 1
$19 vol6 markets
Governor Combos

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

Yes
No
$3 vol1 market
Governor Combos

Which states will Democrats win a trifecta this year?

Arizona
Michigan
$0 vol6 markets
Florida
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
22%
78%
Texas
D
Gina HinojosaHinojosa
R
Greg AbbottAbbott*
15%
85%
Ohio
D
Amy ActonActon
R
Vivek RamaswamyRamaswamy
56%
44%
Iowa
D
Rob SandSand
R
Zach LahnLahn
76%
24%
Michigan
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
Georgia
D
Keisha Lance BottomsBottoms
R
Rick JacksonJackson
53%
47%
New York
D
Kathy HochulHochul*
R
Bruce BlakemanBlakeman
92%
8%
Idaho
D
Terri PickensPickens
R
Brad LittleLittle*
40%
60%
Maine
D
Hannah PingreePingree
R
Robert CharlesCharles
50%
50%
Illinois
D
JB PritzkerPritzker*
R
Darren BaileyBailey
97%
3%
Hawaii
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
Alabama
D
Doug JonesJones
R
Tommy TubervilleTuberville
97%
3%
Pennsylvania
D
Josh ShapiroShapiro*
R
Stacy GarrityGarrity
18%
82%
Nevada
D
Aaron FordFord
R
Joe LombardoLombardo*
42%
58%
Connecticut
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
Kansas
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
New Mexico
D
Deb HaalandHaaland
R
Greggory D. HullHull
50%
50%
Maryland
D
Wes MooreMoore*
R
Dan CoxCox
50%
50%
Massachusetts
D
Democratic partyDemocrat*
R
Republican partyRepublican
50%
50%
New Hampshire
D
Democratic partyDemocrat
R
Republican partyRepublican*
59%
41%
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