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Markets
Product launches
X re-launches Vine this year?
Yes
--
3
%
No
1.01
x
97
%
$1 vol
1 market
Product launches
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
Yes
1.01
x
1
%
No
--
99
%
$24,169 vol
1 market
SpaceX
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
LIVE
Above 12
--
0
%
Above 13
--
0
%
$7,077,754 vol
12 markets
Product launches
Tesla robotaxi released to public before 2027?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Video games
PS6 announced this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Video games
PS6 announced this year?
Yes
--
27
%
No
1.31
x
73
%
$21,028 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Duo Plan price increase this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Individual Plan price increase this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Product launches
Claude Pro price increase this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Product launches
Arizona Iced Tea price increase this year?
Yes
1.03
x
4
%
No
1.02
x
96
%
$1 vol
1 market
Tech
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get this year?
$1/MTok or below
--
2
%
$2/MTok or below
--
2
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Product launches
Netflix price increase this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Microsoft
New Xbox this year?
Yes
--
90
%
No
--
10
%
$1 vol
1 market
Product launches
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
below $450
--
1
%
below $500
--
1
%
$21 vol
7 markets
Ferrari N.V.
When will Ferrari deliver the Ferrari Luce?
Before Dec 1, 2026
--
1
%
Before Nov 1, 2026
--
1
%
$24 vol
8 markets
Product launches
Will Sony Pictures Animation release ‘KPop Demon Hunters 2” before 2027?
Yes
1.01
x
98
%
No
1.01
x
2
%
$6 vol
1 market
Product launches
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
Fruit Medley
1.03
x
3
%
Mango
1.02
x
4
%
$33,926 vol
6 markets
Product launches
Will Dodge release a new Hellcat before 2027?
Yes
--
1
%
No
--
99
%
$5,732 vol
1 market
Tech
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get this year?
$1/MTok or below
--
1
%
$2/MTok or below
--
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Tech
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash input token price get this year?
$1.00/MTok or below
1.57
x
62
%
$0.50/MTok or below
--
1
%
$46 vol
4 markets
Product launches
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?
At least $100
--
2
%
At least $1000
--
2
%
$221 vol
10 markets
Eli Lilly
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2030
--
2
%
Before 2031
--
2
%
$24 vol
6 markets
Eli Lilly
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.01
x
2
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.01
x
2
%
$15 vol
5 markets