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M&A
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Gold
Markets
IPOs

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Before Dec 1, 2026
1.48x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.31x
$4,058,685 vol10 markets
IPOs

When will Waymo officially announce an IPO?

Before Dec 1, 2026
--
Before Nov 1, 2026
--
$18 vol16 markets
Product launches

X re-launches Vine this year?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$1 vol1 market
M&A

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Eli Lilly
4.98x
Boeing
Boeing
Boeing
--
$25 vol18 markets
Elections

Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN?

Michelle Bachelet
Michelle Bachelet
Michelle Bachelet
1.02x
Ivonne A-Baki
Ivonne A-Baki
Ivonne A-Baki
--
$8 vol15 markets
Product launches

Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?

Yes
1.01x
No
--
$24,169 vol1 market
M&A

Will Union Pacific successfully take over Norfolk Southern?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
M&A

Will Dominion Energy successfully take over NextEra Energy?

Yes
--
No
--
$2 vol1 market
M&A

Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?

Paramount
--
None before July 2027
2.89x
$40,005 vol3 markets
IPOs

When will Stripe officially announce an IPO?

Before Feb 1, 2027
--
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.01x
$1,959 vol9 markets
SpaceX

How many launches will SpaceX have in September?

LIVE
Above 8
--
Above 12
--
$7,077,754 vol12 markets
Product launches

Tesla robotaxi released to public before 2027?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Video games

PS6 announced this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Video games

PS6 announced this year?

Yes
--
No
1.31x
$21,028 vol1 market
Product launches

Spotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Product launches

Spotify Premium Duo Plan price increase this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Product launches

Spotify Premium Individual Plan price increase this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Product launches

Claude Pro price increase this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Product launches

Arizona Iced Tea price increase this year?

Yes
1.03x
No
1.02x
$1 vol1 market
Tech

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get this year?

$1/MTok or below
--
$2/MTok or below
--
$4 vol4 markets
IPOs

What sector will OpenAI be assigned to in the S&P 500?

Communication Services
--
Consumer Discretionary
--
$12 vol12 markets
IPOs

Which bank will lead OpenAI’s IPO?

Citigroup
1.62x
Bank of America
--
$14 vol6 markets
CEOs

Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$7 vol1 market
IPOs

Which banks will take OpenAI public?

Allen & Company
--
Centerview
--
$15 vol15 markets