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Fed

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US FED

Fed decision in October?

Fed maintains rate
1.76x
Hike 25bps
2.14x
$5,197,576 vol5 markets
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 1.50%
1.07x
Above 1.00%
--
$74 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed funds rate after October meeting?

Above 5.25%
1.03x
Above 5.00%
1.03x
$18,596 vol11 markets
Fed

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
--
No
--
$5 vol1 market
Fed

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 2029
--
Before Jan 1, 2027
--
$5 vol5 markets
Fed

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Above 4.90%
--
Above 5.00%
--
$16 vol22 markets
Fed

SOFR for September 29, 2026

Exactly 3.86%
--
Exactly 3.87%
--
$0 vol7 markets
Fed

Number of rate hikes this year?

Exactly 0
--
Exactly 1
--
$0 vol5 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 9 cuts
--
Exactly 0 cuts
--
$39,912,474 vol21 markets
Fed

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
--
No
1.01x
$58 vol1 market
Fed

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

David Altig
--
Michael Faulkender
--
$5 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
--
No
1.20x
$24 vol1 market
US FED

How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

0
--
1
--
$0 vol6 markets
Fed

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Reserve President Rejected
9.41x
Reserve President Removed
13.4x
$75 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Yes
--
No
--
$3 vol1 market
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
--
Before 2028
--
$0 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Yes
--
No
--
$1 vol1 market
Fed

Total Fed dissents in 2026

Exactly 10
--
Exactly 11
--
$0 vol7 markets
US FED

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Anna Paulson
--
Christopher Waller
--
$0 vol12 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate cut?

Before July 2027
--
Before July 2028
--
$0 vol5 markets
Fed

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: 0
--
Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
--
$0 vol6 markets
Fed

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 0
--
Exactly 1
--
$41 vol13 markets
Fed

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

2 cuts
--
3 cuts
--
$17 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?

Yes
--
No
--
$0 vol1 market